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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.44+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.25-0.18vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.60+0.58vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.31-0.09vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.11-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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1.82University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
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3.58Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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3.91Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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3.03Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Tucker | 22.2% | 26.3% | 24.1% | 18.3% | 9.1% |
| Jensen McTighe | 48.6% | 29.1% | 15.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Henry Proud | 9.0% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 26.6% | 31.3% |
| Harrison Kempton | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 25.2% | 44.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 14.2% | 21.6% | 25.5% | 24.4% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.