← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.25+0.83vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.31+1.92vs Predicted
-
3Washington College0.60+0.59vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.11-0.99vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.44-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.83University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
-
3.92Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
-
3.59Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
-
3.01Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
-
2.64North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 48.5% | 29.3% | 15.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Harrison Kempton | 6.1% | 8.8% | 14.9% | 26.9% | 43.3% |
| Henry Proud | 9.3% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 26.1% | 32.4% |
| Daniel Hodges | 14.7% | 21.8% | 25.6% | 23.4% | 14.5% |
| Travis Tucker | 21.4% | 26.7% | 25.5% | 18.8% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.