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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+0.84vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.31+1.93vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.60+0.59vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.44-1.36vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.11-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
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3.93Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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3.59Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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2.64North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.01Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 48.6% | 29.3% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Harrison Kempton | 6.0% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 25.7% | 44.2% |
| Henry Proud | 9.3% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 25.8% | 32.4% |
| Travis Tucker | 20.2% | 28.9% | 25.5% | 17.9% | 7.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 15.9% | 19.8% | 25.7% | 24.9% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.