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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+0.84vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.31+1.90vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.44-0.35vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.60-0.41vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.11-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
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3.9Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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2.65North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.59Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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3.02Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 49.4% | 28.0% | 14.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Harrison Kempton | 5.9% | 8.7% | 17.8% | 24.2% | 43.4% |
| Travis Tucker | 21.8% | 26.7% | 25.0% | 17.9% | 8.6% |
| Henry Proud | 7.7% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 26.9% | 31.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 15.2% | 21.8% | 23.2% | 25.2% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.