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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+0.82vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.44+0.66vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.31+0.90vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.60-0.40vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.11-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
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2.66North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.9Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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3.6Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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3.02Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 49.9% | 27.7% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Travis Tucker | 20.0% | 28.3% | 25.3% | 18.1% | 8.3% |
| Harrison Kempton | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 23.4% | 45.0% |
| Henry Proud | 8.0% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 27.9% | 30.9% |
| Daniel Hodges | 15.2% | 20.3% | 26.3% | 24.2% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.