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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+0.84vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+1.05vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.44-0.37vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.60-0.42vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.31-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
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3.05Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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2.63North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.58Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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3.9Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 49.9% | 27.1% | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Daniel Hodges | 13.2% | 21.9% | 25.1% | 26.2% | 13.6% |
| Travis Tucker | 22.2% | 27.2% | 24.1% | 18.6% | 7.9% |
| Henry Proud | 7.6% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 25.6% | 31.1% |
| Harrison Kempton | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 23.6% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.