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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+0.84vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.44+0.64vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.60+0.59vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.11-0.96vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.31-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
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2.64North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.59Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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3.04Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.89Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 49.0% | 27.6% | 15.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Travis Tucker | 20.0% | 28.8% | 25.2% | 19.4% | 6.6% |
| Henry Proud | 9.5% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 27.6% | 31.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 14.3% | 21.1% | 26.9% | 21.9% | 15.8% |
| Harrison Kempton | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 24.9% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.