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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+1.50vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.52+1.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49-0.80vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+0.92vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-0.91vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.37-0.80vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.00-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Hampton University2.260.3%1st Place
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3.51Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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2.2U. S. Naval Academy2.490.4%1st Place
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4.92Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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4.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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5.2William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 30.0% | 28.3% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| John Glenn | 12.3% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Gray Benson | 37.3% | 28.4% | 18.7% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.7% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 25.9% | 19.1% |
| Hunter Cutting | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 23.0% | 20.5% | 15.0% | 6.9% |
| Connor Chapin | 4.3% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 24.5% | 27.7% |
| Samuel Marcom | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 22.9% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.