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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.20vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+2.03vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26-0.49vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.37+1.25vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.59-0.10vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52-2.45vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.00-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2U. S. Naval Academy2.490.4%1st Place
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4.03St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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2.51Hampton University2.260.3%1st Place
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5.25William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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4.9Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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3.55Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.56North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 38.2% | 28.3% | 17.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Cutting | 9.1% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 28.0% | 29.7% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 26.1% | 27.9% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 24.1% | 19.2% |
| John Glenn | 12.7% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 21.3% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Marcom | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 21.2% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.