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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.24vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+0.47vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.59+1.89vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+0.07vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52-1.42vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.37-0.82vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.00-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24U. S. Naval Academy2.490.4%1st Place
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2.47Hampton University2.260.3%1st Place
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4.89Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.07St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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3.58Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.18William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 38.1% | 26.8% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 29.4% | 27.9% | 21.5% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Magno | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 23.0% | 22.2% | 20.1% |
| Hunter Cutting | 8.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 21.5% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 6.5% |
| John Glenn | 11.3% | 16.4% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| Connor Chapin | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 24.4% | 27.1% |
| Samuel Marcom | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.