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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.26vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+0.46vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+0.52vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+0.10vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37+0.22vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59-1.15vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.00-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26U. S. Naval Academy2.490.4%1st Place
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2.46Hampton University2.260.3%1st Place
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3.52Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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5.22William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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4.85Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 37.6% | 27.1% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 28.8% | 29.3% | 20.9% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| John Glenn | 12.5% | 15.4% | 23.7% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 3.6% |
| Hunter Cutting | 8.7% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 18.3% | 22.4% | 16.4% | 6.9% |
| Connor Chapin | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 25.1% | 27.7% |
| Christopher Magno | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 22.5% | 19.6% |
| Samuel Marcom | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 23.3% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.