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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+3.83vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+2.04vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26-0.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.49-1.73vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52-1.44vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.37-0.77vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.00-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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2.48Hampton University2.260.3%1st Place
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2.27U. S. Naval Academy2.490.4%1st Place
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3.56Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.23William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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5.59North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 21.3% | 23.4% | 19.3% |
| Hunter Cutting | 8.1% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 13.0% | 7.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 30.1% | 26.3% | 20.9% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Gray Benson | 36.7% | 26.6% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Glenn | 12.0% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 21.4% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 3.7% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 27.0% | 27.4% |
| Samuel Marcom | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 23.3% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.