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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+1.51vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.52+1.50vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+1.08vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+0.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.49-2.72vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.37-0.82vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.00-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Hampton University2.260.3%1st Place
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3.5Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.08St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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4.9Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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2.28U. S. Naval Academy2.490.4%1st Place
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5.18William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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5.55North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 29.9% | 27.8% | 19.6% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| John Glenn | 12.2% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Hunter Cutting | 9.0% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 21.6% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 7.8% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 24.7% | 19.4% |
| Gray Benson | 36.0% | 28.2% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Connor Chapin | 4.7% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 24.7% | 27.3% |
| Samuel Marcom | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 23.2% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.