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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.22vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+2.09vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26-0.49vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+0.93vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37+0.24vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.00-0.36vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22U. S. Naval Academy2.490.4%1st Place
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4.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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2.51Hampton University2.260.3%1st Place
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4.93Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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5.24William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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5.64North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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3.37Old Dominion University1.520.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 37.7% | 27.6% | 18.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Cutting | 8.1% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 7.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 28.0% | 26.9% | 23.7% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.8% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 22.4% | 24.5% | 18.9% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 24.5% | 28.9% |
| Samuel Marcom | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 23.8% | 41.5% |
| John Glenn | 15.8% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.