← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.39+3.69vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.05+1.27vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University2.07+4.69vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.48+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.40-0.44vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.28-1.11vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy2.20+0.27vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.35-3.38vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.39-1.88vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.64-1.63vs Predicted
-
13Bates College0.74-2.66vs Predicted
-
14University of Connecticut2.51-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.69University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
-
3.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.050.2%1st Place
-
7.69Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
-
4.46Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
4.56Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
4.89Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
-
7.27Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
-
4.62Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.12Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
-
10.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
-
10.34Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
-
6.73University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Spencer | 11.9% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Tanya Cuprak | 23.1% | 21.5% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Keller | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 3.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Matt Johnson | 14.1% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 24.5% | 11.4% |
| Patrick Morrissey | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 24.9% | 40.9% |
| Christopher Calahan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 26.0% | 38.8% |
| Sean Andrew | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.