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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+4.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+4.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+7.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.15+3.72vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.24+6.22vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17-1.37vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.11vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71-2.27vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.48+4.23vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.84-4.27vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-2.03vs Predicted
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12Boston College-0.06+0.07vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.01-4.36vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-3.84vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-4.23vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-0.93-1.61vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-9.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Roger Williams University1.9710.3%1st Place
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6.81Brown University1.858.0%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.2%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.155.7%1st Place
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11.22University of Vermont0.242.8%1st Place
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4.63Harvard University2.1716.0%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.855.0%1st Place
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5.73Dartmouth College1.7111.8%1st Place
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13.23Boston University-0.481.0%1st Place
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5.73Bowdoin College1.8411.6%1st Place
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8.97Northeastern University1.225.0%1st Place
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12.07Boston College-0.061.8%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University1.015.2%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.2%1st Place
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10.77Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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14.39University of Rhode Island-0.930.6%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 7.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.0% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| bella casaretto | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 19.9% | 22.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.3% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Erin Little | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 41.3% |
| Emma Wang | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.