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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.21vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+0.48vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.59+1.89vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.37+1.24vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-0.91vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52-2.46vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.00-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21U. S. Naval Academy2.490.4%1st Place
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2.48Hampton University2.260.3%1st Place
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4.89Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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5.24William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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4.09St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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3.54Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.57North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 38.3% | 27.0% | 18.5% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 28.2% | 28.7% | 21.9% | 12.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Magno | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 23.0% | 23.1% | 19.3% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 25.9% | 27.6% |
| Hunter Cutting | 8.4% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 14.9% | 7.6% |
| John Glenn | 12.7% | 16.1% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Marcom | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 21.3% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.