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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.00+4.60vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+0.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49-0.78vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+0.12vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.59-0.10vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52-2.47vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.37-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6North Carolina State University-0.000.0%1st Place
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2.5Hampton University2.260.3%1st Place
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2.22U. S. Naval Academy2.490.4%1st Place
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4.12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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4.9Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.53Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.13William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Marcom | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 42.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 27.9% | 28.6% | 22.1% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Gray Benson | 37.4% | 26.5% | 21.0% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Cutting | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 21.7% | 21.3% | 15.7% | 7.5% |
| Christopher Magno | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 22.5% | 19.9% |
| John Glenn | 13.2% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Connor Chapin | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 25.6% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.