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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+6.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.24vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.60+7.24vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.45+2.30vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.98vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.75-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+3.56vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.34-1.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-4.80vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.06vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.15-0.94vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.09-1.19vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.45-7.97vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.64-1.39vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.43-0.23vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.21-4.53vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.25-5.54vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-0.64-5.39vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.77-3.39vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University-1.97-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.3%1st Place
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4.44Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.24University of California at Berkeley0.600.0%1st Place
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4.65California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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8.3University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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12.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.0%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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13.06California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.06California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.0%1st Place
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15.61California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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17.77Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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14.47University of California at Berkeley-0.210.0%1st Place
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14.46San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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15.61California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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18.61Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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18.91Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 25.3% | 22.2% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 22.4% | 19.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia MacDonald | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 25.0% | 31.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 23.3% | 39.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.