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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.43+3.76vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.08+4.19vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.41+1.16vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.08+0.98vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.90+2.92vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.01-1.03vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.26-1.33vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.13-2.78vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.93-1.56vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.48-3.82vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.79-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Columbia University0.4314.1%1st Place
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6.19Webb Institute-0.087.4%1st Place
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4.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6016.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Texas0.4111.3%1st Place
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5.98Princeton University-0.089.3%1st Place
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8.92Williams College-0.902.6%1st Place
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5.97University of Michigan-0.019.7%1st Place
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6.67Fordham University-0.267.4%1st Place
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6.22SUNY Maritime College-0.138.3%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.933.8%1st Place
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7.18Florida Institute of Technology-0.486.0%1st Place
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8.14Washington College-0.794.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Marc Leyk | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Sam Carson | 16.0% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Advik Eswaran | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 28.6% |
| Samuel Stephens | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Robert Upton | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| Luke Barker | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 21.6% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.