← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.62+3.52vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+5.13vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+1.54vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+8.57vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.75+2.24vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.32vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara1.45+1.02vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.61vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.60+2.21vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands0.15+2.91vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego1.45-2.94vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-8.74vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-0.64+2.71vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.23vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.64vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley-0.21-1.84vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara1.34-8.57vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.09vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-1.77-0.32vs Predicted
-
20San Diego State University-0.46-4.89vs Predicted
-
21California State University Channel Islands-0.64-5.29vs Predicted
-
22Santa Clara University-1.97-3.07vs Predicted
-
23Arizona State University-1.43-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.52Stanford University2.620.2%1st Place
-
7.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
-
4.54California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
12.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
7.24University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
-
10.32University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.450.0%1st Place
-
7.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
11.21University of California at Berkeley0.600.0%1st Place
-
12.91California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
8.06University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
-
3.26University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.2%1st Place
-
15.71California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
-
13.77University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
11.36University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
14.16University of California at Berkeley-0.210.0%1st Place
-
8.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.0%1st Place
-
12.91California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
18.68Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
-
15.11San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
15.71California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
-
18.93Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
-
17.7Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 15.4% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 12.4% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 24.6% | 22.2% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia MacDonald | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 26.9% | 31.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 40.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.