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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.61+7.91vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.22+2.24vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands-0.97+11.47vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.72+1.46vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-1.03vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-4.88vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.80-1.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44+1.42vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-3.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+0.30vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.87+0.02vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81+1.87vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.71-2.60vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.53vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-3.82vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-1.67-2.14vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.81-3.13vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.26-2.76vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University-1.25-6.67vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.97-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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4.24Stanford University2.220.2%1st Place
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14.47California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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5.3California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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6.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.3%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.02San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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16.87California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.47California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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16.86University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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16.87California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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18.24Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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15.33Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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17.31Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 15.9% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 26.7% | 22.1% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 32.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.