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📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44+10.59vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.22+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.61+4.90vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.72-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-2.20vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.66vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.40vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-0.97+4.28vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.80-2.83vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-4.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.71+0.57vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-0.84vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81+1.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-1.77vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.72vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.87-4.09vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-1.67-2.20vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-1.25-4.65vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.97-3.47vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.26-3.90vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-1.81-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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12.59University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
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4.18Stanford University2.220.2%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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5.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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8.66University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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14.28California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.17University of California at San Diego0.800.1%1st Place
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7.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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16.88California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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14.23University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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14.28California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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13.91San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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16.8University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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15.35Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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17.53Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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18.1Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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16.88California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 24.3% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 15.3% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 13.3% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 31.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.