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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10+3.11vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+4.59vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.78+1.99vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.84+2.58vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.51-2.94vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.34+1.84vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-0.96vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.66-3.69vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.62-4.77vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology1.64-0.69vs Predicted
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13Washington College3.07-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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5.11University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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5.99College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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5.93Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.84Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.0%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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11.31Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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8.2Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 20.0% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 10.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Erik Bowers | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 8.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 19.0% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 21.2% | 20.6% |
| Willie McBride | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
| Jason Carminati | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Carmody | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 17.1% | 51.5% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.