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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.16+0.84vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.19+2.20vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27-1.04vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.31+0.32vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.02-1.09vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.65+0.12vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.09-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Wisconsin1.1022.3%1st Place
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2.84University of Michigan1.1625.4%1st Place
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5.2Miami University-0.195.7%1st Place
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2.96Northwestern University1.2723.2%1st Place
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5.32Hope College-0.315.7%1st Place
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4.91Clemson University0.026.6%1st Place
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7.12Michigan State University-1.651.8%1st Place
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4.63Columbia University0.099.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 22.3% | 21.4% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Webster | 25.4% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jenna Drobny | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 22.6% | 8.9% |
| Jake Weinstein | 23.2% | 23.2% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 24.4% | 10.9% |
| Antonio Priskich | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 8.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 65.6% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.