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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.22+3.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.61+6.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.64+5.36vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.51vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.72-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-3.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.80+0.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.71+5.10vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-4.43vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.97+3.87vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.09-0.60vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.87+1.79vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.82-5.27vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81+2.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-6.40vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.67+0.04vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44-4.58vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-0.65-5.00vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-0.97-5.13vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.81-3.69vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.97-4.09vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.26-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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7.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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3.23University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.3%1st Place
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8.64University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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14.1University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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5.57California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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14.87California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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14.79San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
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17.31California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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17.04University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
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14.0Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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14.87California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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17.31California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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17.91Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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18.44Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Sole | 14.2% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 27.3% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Richmond | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 34.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.