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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.61+7.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+6.65vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands-0.97+11.43vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.72+1.45vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+0.29vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.15vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.22-2.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-3.22vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.81+8.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-6.76vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.87+2.88vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.97+2.43vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-1.25+2.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.64-5.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-0.73vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-2.90vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44-4.55vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego0.80-9.82vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.26-0.65vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.71-6.44vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-1.67-4.38vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-1.81-4.98vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.97-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
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14.43California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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5.29California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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7.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.16Stanford University2.220.2%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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17.02California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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13.88San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.43California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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15.33Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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14.27University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.45University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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18.35Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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13.56University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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16.62University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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17.02California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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17.3Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 15.8% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 12.2% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 25.0% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 19.6% | 34.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.