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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+3.59vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.22+1.28vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-0.97+10.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+4.40vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-0.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.82+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-4.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.09+0.98vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.97+3.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.64-3.12vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-5.65vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44-1.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.71-1.23vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.65-2.55vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.87-2.72vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.81-0.79vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.75-4.89vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-1.67-3.02vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-1.81-3.79vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.26-3.57vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.97-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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5.59University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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4.28Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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14.79California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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5.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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14.79California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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7.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
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13.77University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.45Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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14.28San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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17.21California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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14.11University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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16.98University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
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17.21California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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18.43Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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17.59Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 24.8% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Richmond | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 11.4% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 35.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 21.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.