← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Channel Islands-0.97+13.28vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.04vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+1.56vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64+9.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.27+1.54vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University-0.87+8.02vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-2.07vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.36vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.27vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.22-5.93vs Predicted
-
11Santa Clara University-0.65+1.97vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.61-3.34vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara0.82-5.08vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-0.71-0.72vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University-2.26+2.99vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.44-3.73vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-3.03vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.72vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-1.97-1.37vs Predicted
-
20California State University Channel Islands-1.81-3.03vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-0.75-7.57vs Predicted
-
22California State University Channel Islands-1.81-5.03vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Berkeley-1.67-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
14.28California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
3.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.3%1st Place
-
4.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
-
13.03University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
-
6.54University of Southern California1.270.1%1st Place
-
14.02San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
4.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
-
8.36University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
-
6.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
4.07Stanford University2.220.2%1st Place
-
12.97Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
-
8.66University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
7.92University of California at Santa Barbara0.820.0%1st Place
-
13.28University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
-
17.99Arizona State University-2.260.0%1st Place
-
12.27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.440.0%1st Place
-
13.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
14.28California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
17.63Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
-
16.97California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
13.43University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
16.97California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
16.35University of California at Berkeley-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gates | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 25.9% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 16.4% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Richmond | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Dolson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 32.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Yong | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 25.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Broadley | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.