← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.53+0.52vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University2.54+0.36vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.70vs Predicted
-
4University of Georgia-1.09+2.94vs Predicted
-
5University of South Carolina0.75-0.50vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+0.01vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University1.36-3.24vs Predicted
-
8Duke University-0.54-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.52College of Charleston3.530.6%1st Place
-
2.36North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
-
4.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.94University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
-
4.5University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
-
6.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
-
3.76Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
-
6.22Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Benn Smith | 62.1% | 26.8% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 21.5% | 39.9% | 24.1% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 3.6% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 21.1% | 9.9% | 3.5% |
| Alexander Weisel | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 21.4% | 51.1% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 3.9% | 6.5% | 16.1% | 23.5% | 22.3% | 16.5% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Robert Williams | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 26.5% | 20.6% |
| Robert Gruskos | 6.5% | 13.7% | 24.9% | 25.0% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fulford | 0.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 12.2% | 21.5% | 30.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.