Race 2A

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sydney Bolger 16.8% 17.2% 15.1% 13.5% 10.6% 8.2% 6.5% 5.6% 3.0% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Samuel Ingham 19.2% 18.7% 15.9% 12.5% 10.7% 8.0% 5.2% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Harrison Cabiness 2.0% 1.6% 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% 3.8% 5.4% 5.0% 7.2% 10.6% 13.2% 22.6% 21.1%
Erik Bowers 8.3% 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 11.0% 8.2% 10.0% 9.8% 8.1% 6.5% 6.5% 2.6% 1.1%
Ian Liberty 5.6% 5.4% 6.2% 5.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.7% 8.1% 10.8% 12.1% 10.2% 7.9% 3.5%
Stephanie Roble 9.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.0% 9.2% 10.3% 9.8% 9.2% 8.3% 7.4% 5.4% 3.0% 0.8%
Andrew Battigaglia 1.2% 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 2.7% 5.3% 5.6% 7.9% 16.3% 50.3%
Jason Carminati 8.2% 7.6% 6.9% 10.0% 8.9% 10.4% 9.7% 10.8% 8.5% 7.2% 6.1% 4.2% 1.5%
Willie McBride 4.1% 4.3% 5.5% 4.8% 5.5% 6.8% 8.4% 8.9% 10.4% 10.1% 14.4% 11.1% 5.7%
Max Famiglietti 4.1% 3.1% 3.9% 3.7% 5.4% 7.4% 5.9% 7.9% 9.3% 10.9% 12.8% 15.8% 9.8%
Sam Fitzgerald 4.6% 3.8% 5.9% 5.8% 6.3% 7.3% 8.7% 9.1% 10.5% 10.5% 13.4% 9.6% 4.5%
Matthew Carmody 6.5% 6.4% 8.1% 10.1% 8.5% 8.5% 9.5% 10.5% 9.7% 9.8% 6.4% 4.7% 1.3%
Joseph Kutschenreuter 10.2% 12.9% 10.4% 10.9% 11.9% 10.7% 9.4% 7.5% 6.1% 6.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.