← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University1.36+2.63vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.53-0.46vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University2.54-0.63vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+0.75vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+1.07vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina0.75-1.51vs Predicted
-
7University of Georgia-1.09-0.06vs Predicted
-
8Duke University-0.54-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.63Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
-
1.54College of Charleston3.530.6%1st Place
-
2.37North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
-
4.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
-
4.49University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
-
6.94University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
-
6.2Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Gruskos | 6.6% | 14.6% | 28.5% | 23.9% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Benn Smith | 61.3% | 26.6% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 22.5% | 38.5% | 24.4% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 2.8% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 23.2% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 3.0% |
| Robert Williams | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 27.5% | 19.9% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 3.9% | 7.4% | 15.1% | 22.9% | 23.0% | 17.6% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Weisel | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 20.8% | 52.6% |
| Avery Fulford | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 21.4% | 29.1% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.