← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.53+0.52vs Predicted
-
2University of South Carolina0.75+2.52vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.65vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University2.54-1.61vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+1.07vs Predicted
-
6Duke University-0.54+0.24vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University1.36-3.26vs Predicted
-
8University of Georgia-1.09-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.52College of Charleston3.530.6%1st Place
-
4.52University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
-
4.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
-
2.39North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
-
6.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
-
6.24Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
3.74Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
-
6.86University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Benn Smith | 62.4% | 26.6% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 3.6% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 22.0% | 23.1% | 17.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Alex Jones | 3.5% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 21.8% | 21.0% | 9.6% | 3.0% |
| Scott Harris | 20.8% | 40.4% | 23.8% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Williams | 0.9% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 22.7% | 27.2% | 19.8% |
| Avery Fulford | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 26.0% | 26.9% |
| Robert Gruskos | 7.2% | 12.0% | 27.2% | 23.7% | 17.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Weisel | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 25.6% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.