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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+0.52vs Predicted
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2University of Georgia-0.96+4.55vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.33+0.19vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.05+1.12vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.31-0.28vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.95-2.28vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52College of Charleston2.930.6%1st Place
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6.55University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.19North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.12Clemson University0.050.0%1st Place
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4.72University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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3.72Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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4.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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6.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ratliffe | 63.1% | 25.4% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Heckler | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 30.2% | 36.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 12.6% | 24.6% | 23.9% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 3.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 23.6% | 18.0% | 6.2% |
| Keara Paquette | 4.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 20.4% | 13.2% | 3.7% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 8.8% | 17.0% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Graham Shivers | 6.5% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Harley Lowery | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 23.9% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.