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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+0.53vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.31+1.68vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.05+1.14vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.33-1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-0.96+0.49vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.95-3.19vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53College of Charleston2.930.6%1st Place
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4.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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4.68University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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5.14Clemson University0.050.0%1st Place
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3.2North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.81Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ratliffe | 63.5% | 24.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Shivers | 6.0% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 20.3% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Keara Paquette | 4.9% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 13.0% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 3.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 24.1% | 17.2% | 7.9% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 12.4% | 24.7% | 23.9% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Heckler | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 28.7% | 34.3% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 8.2% | 16.5% | 21.0% | 21.3% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Harley Lowery | 0.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 26.6% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.