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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+0.54vs Predicted
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2University of Georgia-0.96+4.58vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.31+0.71vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.95-1.23vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.33-2.78vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33-0.06vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.05-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54College of Charleston2.930.6%1st Place
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6.58University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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4.71University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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3.77Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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3.22North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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5.08Clemson University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ratliffe | 63.0% | 24.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Heckler | 1.2% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 32.2% | 35.4% |
| Graham Shivers | 7.7% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Keara Paquette | 4.6% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 23.6% | 12.1% | 3.6% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 7.6% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 12.5% | 23.9% | 24.5% | 18.7% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Harley Lowery | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 24.9% | 51.2% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 2.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.