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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.31+1.70vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33-0.80vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.95-1.25vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.05-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33-0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-0.96-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55College of Charleston2.930.6%1st Place
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4.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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4.7University of South Carolina0.310.1%1st Place
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3.2North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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3.75Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.12Clemson University0.050.0%1st Place
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6.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ratliffe | 63.2% | 24.2% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Shivers | 6.3% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 1.3% |
| Keara Paquette | 5.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 4.2% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 12.0% | 25.5% | 22.9% | 20.0% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 8.0% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 3.4% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 17.6% | 7.5% |
| Harley Lowery | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 21.2% | 55.1% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 32.7% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.