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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+0.53vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66+2.22vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.33+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Georgia-0.96+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.31-0.27vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.95-2.28vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.05-1.82vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53College of Charleston2.930.6%1st Place
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4.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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3.17North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.73University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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3.72Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.18Clemson University0.050.0%1st Place
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6.91University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ratliffe | 63.1% | 24.9% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Shivers | 6.1% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 13.0% | 24.6% | 23.8% | 19.2% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 29.0% | 35.7% |
| Keara Paquette | 4.2% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 22.7% | 12.0% | 3.8% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 8.4% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 22.3% | 19.0% | 8.2% |
| Harley Lowery | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 24.9% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.