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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+0.54vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.33+1.22vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.05+2.06vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.95-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-0.96+1.55vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.31-1.30vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54College of Charleston2.930.6%1st Place
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3.22North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.06Clemson University0.050.0%1st Place
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3.77Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.7University of South Carolina0.310.1%1st Place
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4.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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6.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ratliffe | 62.7% | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 12.0% | 25.4% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 23.9% | 17.6% | 6.6% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 7.9% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 22.5% | 18.8% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Heckler | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 29.4% | 35.2% |
| Keara Paquette | 5.2% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
| Graham Shivers | 6.3% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Harley Lowery | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 10.6% | 25.4% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.