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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.84+7.69vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+4.03vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin4.10+1.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+1.91vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.34+2.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.66-1.68vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.51-4.89vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+1.22vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.07-3.16vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.62-5.42vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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6.03College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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5.12University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.89Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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9.81Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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4.11Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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11.22Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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7.84Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Famiglietti | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 9.2% |
| Erik Bowers | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 20.0% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Roble | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Willie McBride | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 5.4% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 22.2% | 21.6% |
| Jason Carminati | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.3% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 51.1% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.