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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+1.96vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.27+0.96vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.02+1.89vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.09+0.60vs Predicted
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5Miami University-0.19+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.16-3.13vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.31-1.57vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.65-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Wisconsin1.1023.1%1st Place
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2.96Northwestern University1.2723.9%1st Place
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4.89Clemson University0.027.1%1st Place
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4.6Columbia University0.098.7%1st Place
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5.25Miami University-0.195.9%1st Place
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2.87University of Michigan1.1624.6%1st Place
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5.43Hope College-0.315.0%1st Place
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7.05Michigan State University-1.651.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 23.1% | 22.1% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jake Weinstein | 23.9% | 21.1% | 21.3% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Antonio Priskich | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 6.7% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 5.4% |
| Jenna Drobny | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 22.0% | 10.7% |
| Gavin Webster | 24.6% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 25.1% | 12.6% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.