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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+0.54vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina0.31+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66+1.14vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.95-0.26vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.05+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.33+0.95vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.33-3.74vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-0.96-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54College of Charleston2.930.6%1st Place
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4.75University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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4.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.1%1st Place
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3.74Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.13Clemson University0.050.0%1st Place
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6.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.330.0%1st Place
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3.26North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Ratliffe | 62.6% | 24.8% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keara Paquette | 4.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 4.9% |
| Graham Shivers | 7.4% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 8.2% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 3.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 25.3% | 16.9% | 7.6% |
| Harley Lowery | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 22.6% | 52.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 12.8% | 22.6% | 24.1% | 19.1% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 34.1% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.