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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.85+8.58vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.13+6.48vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.78+6.92vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+5.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+3.30vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.67+4.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.94+0.98vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.57+1.49vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-4.71vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.38+0.37vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-4.30vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.37-1.89vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.50-7.39vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.35vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.04vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.22-8.91vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-11.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.09Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.29Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.37Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.11Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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15.35Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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16.04Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.09Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Padegs | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Savage | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Emma White | 14.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| William O'Leary | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 26.0% | 33.8% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 21.8% | 49.0% |
| Jed Bell | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.