← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.50+6.04vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.59vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.99+2.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.94+4.97vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+3.30vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.78+3.72vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.13+1.32vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.36-0.70vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.37+2.33vs Predicted
-
10Yale University1.67+0.38vs Predicted
-
11Maine Maritime Academy0.06+4.39vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.75-1.87vs Predicted
-
13Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+2.81vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.38-3.01vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.57-4.51vs Predicted
-
16Brown University2.22-8.02vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College1.85-7.49vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-11.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.04Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
5.22Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.97University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
-
8.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
9.72Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
8.32University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
-
7.3Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
11.33Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
-
10.38Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
-
15.39Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.13Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
15.81Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
-
10.99Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
-
10.49Tufts University1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.98Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
9.51Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
-
6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 14.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| William O'Leary | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 26.6% | 36.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 22.3% | 46.2% |
| Anthony Root | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Savage | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Jed Bell | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.