← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College1.37+10.45vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+4.92vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.99+2.25vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.37vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.22+2.87vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.13+2.31vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.36+0.39vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.78+1.57vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.50-2.22vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.39vs Predicted
-
11Yale University1.67-0.77vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.38-0.42vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.94-4.13vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.85-4.88vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.57-4.55vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College1.75-6.08vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.52vs Predicted
-
18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.45Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
-
5.25Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.87Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
8.31University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
-
7.39Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.57Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
6.78Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
8.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
10.23Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
-
11.58Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
-
8.87University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
-
9.12Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
-
10.45Tufts University1.570.0%1st Place
-
9.92Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
15.48Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
-
15.84Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William O'Leary | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jed Bell | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Anthony Root | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Savage | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 24.6% | 37.6% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 23.8% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.