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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+4.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+3.86vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+4.20vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+1.81vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+1.93vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.75+2.78vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.67+2.00vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.37+2.27vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.85-0.39vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-3.50vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.94-2.67vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-3.44vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.06+1.17vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-3.82vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.13-7.70vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.57-6.37vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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10.0Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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11.27Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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15.17Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University1.570.0%1st Place
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15.9Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 12.9% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.6% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| William O'Leary | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Dugan | 1.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 23.3% | 34.2% |
| Anthony Root | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Savage | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 8.9% | 20.7% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.