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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+4.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+4.99vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+3.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+3.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.57+5.39vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+1.35vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.13+1.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.65vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.72vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.85-0.35vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.75-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.94-2.57vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.38-1.89vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.67-4.19vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.06+0.36vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.02vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.78-7.13vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.37-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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11.11Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.81Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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15.36Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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16.02Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.12Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 12.9% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Savage | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Anthony Root | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 26.8% | 33.3% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 20.8% | 49.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| William O'Leary | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.