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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+6.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+6.15vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+2.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+1.80vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+3.53vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+2.07vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.73+0.97vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.75+0.14vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.78-1.10vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.13-3.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.57-3.71vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-3.66vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.67-5.77vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.46vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.15Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.32Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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9.53Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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9.07Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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10.14Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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9.9Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.34Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.23Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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15.54Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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15.88Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| William Bedford | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Savage | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Anthony Root | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 3.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 25.7% | 38.7% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 24.5% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.