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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+5.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+3.97vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.78+5.65vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.73+4.88vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+2.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36+0.41vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95+0.97vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.85+0.45vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.27vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.67-0.65vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-6.58vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-3.26vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.06+1.23vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-3.69vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.13-7.62vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.57-6.26vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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8.05Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.35Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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5.42Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.74Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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15.23Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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11.31Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University1.570.0%1st Place
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15.95Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Jed Bell | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Bedford | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Bowen | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Emma White | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Dugan | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 24.9% | 33.6% |
| Anthony Root | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Savage | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 20.0% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.