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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.73+9.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.67+8.49vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.13+5.56vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.85+5.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+1.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+2.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-1.84vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.78+1.71vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-0.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-2.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.57-0.27vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-4.23vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-4.06vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.75-4.36vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-3.65vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.04vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.52vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.50-11.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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10.49Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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8.03Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.16Dartmouth College2.990.2%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.35Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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16.04Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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15.48Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Champney | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Savage | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Bedford | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Anthony Root | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 19.1% | 50.6% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 28.3% | 35.4% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.