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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.84+7.68vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+2.19vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+4.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin4.10+0.12vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.78-0.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.66-0.67vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.76-1.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-4.35vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.07-3.09vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology1.64-0.62vs Predicted
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13Clemson University2.34-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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4.19Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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3.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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5.12University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.99College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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6.09Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.91Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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11.38Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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10.09Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Famiglietti | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 8.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.7% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Samuel Ingham | 20.1% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Erik Bowers | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Jason Carminati | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Stephanie Roble | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Willie McBride | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 4.6% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 53.1% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 25.4% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.