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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.16+1.88vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.27+0.89vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.10+0.03vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.09+0.63vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.65+2.16vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.19-0.86vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.02-2.09vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.31-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Michigan1.1624.9%1st Place
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2.89Northwestern University1.2724.2%1st Place
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3.03University of Wisconsin1.1021.9%1st Place
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4.63Columbia University0.098.7%1st Place
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7.16Michigan State University-1.650.9%1st Place
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5.14Miami University-0.196.2%1st Place
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4.91Clemson University0.027.6%1st Place
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5.36Hope College-0.315.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Webster | 24.9% | 22.6% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jake Weinstein | 24.2% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 15.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 21.9% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 65.0% |
| Jenna Drobny | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 9.3% |
| Antonio Priskich | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 23.5% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.