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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.38+10.51vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.75+8.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.73+7.22vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.13+4.28vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+1.83vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+3.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-0.20vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.85+1.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-3.91vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36-2.36vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+5.02vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.67-1.43vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.22-5.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.76vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.57-4.46vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-7.48vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.78-7.11vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.06-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.51Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.12Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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5.09Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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16.02Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.57Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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7.9Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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15.31Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Root | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 3.5% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Bedford | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Emma White | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 18.8% | 51.9% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Jed Bell | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Savage | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Dugan | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 26.2% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.