← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College1.85+8.62vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.57+8.88vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.99+2.26vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.95+4.96vs Predicted
-
5Yale University1.67+5.13vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.22+2.05vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College1.75+2.92vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.73+1.91vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-2.24vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-2.25vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.36-3.46vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.50-4.75vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.38-1.80vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.78-4.46vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-6.63vs Predicted
-
16Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.04vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.13-8.48vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy0.06-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.62Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
-
10.88Tufts University1.570.0%1st Place
-
5.26Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.96Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
-
10.13Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
-
8.05Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
9.92Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
9.91University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
-
6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
-
7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.54Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.25Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
11.2Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
-
9.54Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
8.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
16.04Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
-
8.52University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
-
15.3Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Padegs | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Savage | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Emma White | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Jed Bell | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Root | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 22.8% | 49.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Dugan | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 27.0% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.